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このアイテムの引用には次の識別子を使用してください:
http://hdl.handle.net/10119/3941
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| タイトル: | A Multi-Regional Model of the Development in Technology Industries |
| 著者: | Kazuno, Yoshiki
Masuda, Hiroyuki
Arai, Takeshi |
| キーワード: | System Dynamics (SD)
STELLA
demand forecasting
semiconductor
policy |
| 発行日: | Nov-2005 |
| 出版者: | JAIST Press |
| 抄録: | Forecasting the production of technological development and manufacturing is important to managers, entrepreneurs, governments and others. A marketing strategy can be much more effective with an understanding of technological development, manufacturing and market projection analysis. This paper aims to propose a System Dynamics model for the semiconductor industry in multi-regions, such as Japan, United States of America, and South Korea. We also tried applying this system to the digital camera industry. System Dynamics is a method for making educated predictions about future market trends which can aid businesses in their attempt to construct responses to a variety of possible scenarios. Therefore, the structure of the entire system is understood in a quantitative way, and the future can be forecasted. We constructed the model by dividing it into four sectors; the technological development sector, the demand sector, the manufacturing capability sector, and the production sector to calculate production for semiconductor industry. The model for the digital camera industry is divided into three parts as follows: the technological development sector, the demand sector, and the shipment sector which calculates the shipping volume. The System Dynamics model was found to be capable of providing predictions for two technology industries; semiconductors and digital cameras. Further, the system Dynamics method of analysis enables businesses to set policies based upon the results discovered from the manipulation of various market scenarios. |
| 記述: | The original publication is available at JAIST Press http://www.jaist.ac.jp/library/jaist-press/index.html
IFSR 2005 : Proceedings of the First World Congress of the International Federation for Systems Research : The New Roles of Systems Sciences For a Knowledge-based Society : Nov. 14-17, 2151, Kobe, Japan
Symposium 1, Session 8 : Technology Creation Based on Knowledge Science Modeling and Systems(2) |
| 言語: | ENG |
| URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/10119/3941 |
| ISBN: | 4-903092-02-X |
| 出現コレクション: | IFSR 2005
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このアイテムのファイル:
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記述 |
サイズ | 形式 |
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| 20046.pdf | | 323Kb | Adobe PDF | 見る/開く |
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